An
estimated 3,164 space payloads are proposed to be built and launched
to earth or deep space orbits between 2013 and 2032, according
to Teal Group,
an aerospace and defense market analysis firm based in Fairfax, Va.
They
estimate the value of these satellites and other space payloads at
more than $235 billion.
Teal analysts identify and quantify 276 proposed launches in
2013 (minus the 150 launched through Nov. 20), 481 in 2014, 481 in
2015, 329 in 2016, 173 in 2017, 102 in 2019, 111 in 2020, 98 in 2021,
103 in 2022, 81 in 2023, 82 in 2024, 99 in 2025, 89 in 2026, 75 in
2027, 83 in 2028, 86 in 2029, 104 in 2030, 79 in 2031, and 85 in
2032.
"Keep
in mind, probably half (or more) of the spacecraft announced and
identified in our Teal Group Worldwide Mission Model will never be
built and launched, because of insufficient funding or technical
challenges,” said
Marco Caceres, a lead analyst for Teal Group. “And
other spacecraft not yet proposed or even conceived will be built and
launched.”
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