Coinciding with the Satellite 2017 Conference & Exhibition held in Washington, D.C., this week,
Teal Group space analysts have identified 8,607 satellites, probes
and capsules to be built and launched to earth or deep space orbits
between 2017 and 2036. They estimate the value of these space
payloads at more than $250 billion. Teal Group is an aerospace
and defense consultancy based in Fairfax, Va.
The payload count for 2017-2036
reflects a 41 percent increase compared to the 5,095 payloads
identified last year for 2016-2035 and 46.5 percent more than the
4,067 payloads for the 20-year look forward in 2015. The trend
in the future market for space payloads continues upward, and it is
being driven largely by the introduction of thousands of small, nano
and pico (mainly "Cubesats") commercial satellites designed
to provide everything from broadband and mobile communications to
meteorological, imaging and position location & tracking
services.
Teal analysts identify 443 payloads
"proposed" for launch in 2017, followed by 583 in 2018; 727
in 2019; 926 in 2020; 731 in 2021; 1,222 in 2022; 1,201 in 2023; 968
in 2024; 730 in 2025; and 298 in 2026.
In their latest update by spacecraft
type, Teal analysts classified 6,786 (79 percent) of the payloads as
commercial, 921 (11 percent) as civil (government non-military), 579
(6.5 percent) as military, and 321 (3.5 percent) as university and
non-profit.
Of the payloads, more than 75 percent of them are proposed for low earth orbits; 17 percent for medium earth orbits; six percent to geostationary orbits; and the rest to deep space or elliptical orbits.
Of the payloads, more than 75 percent of them are proposed for low earth orbits; 17 percent for medium earth orbits; six percent to geostationary orbits; and the rest to deep space or elliptical orbits.
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